Government plans to invest US$ 11 billion in energy efficiency measures to reduce primary energy consumption by 14 per cent by 2023. The EBRD welcomes Turkey’s National Energy Efficiency Action Plan which sets the country on course to implement a reduction of 14 per cent of primary energy consumption by 2023. The government has committed to invest almost US$ 11 billion in energy efficiency measures set out by the plan.

“This is a major step towards making a rapidly expanding economy also much more energy efficient. The plan builds on the realization that a sustainable, efficient and prudent generation and consumption of energy is crucial for both economic growth and a sound environment. The action plan addresses the need to balance both aspects with detailed measures and where possible and feasible the EBRD stands ready to support this crucial effort,” said EBRD Managing Director for Turkey, Arvid Tuerkner.

Turkey has become one of the fastest growing economies in the world with a real GDP growth expected to reach around 7 per cent in 2017. The government expects the growth to average to around 5.5 per cent a year for the coming three years.

With increased growth comes increased energy consumption: according to government figures, Turkey has the highest growth rate of energy demand among all OECD countries. However, it is able to meet only around 26 per cent of its total energy demand from domestic resources, and is dependent on imports for over 90 per cent of its oil and gas needs; this dependency contributes heavily to the country’s external imbalances. Consequently, improving energy efficiency is extremely important for Turkey.

The National Energy Efficiency Action Plan (NEEAP) will help tackle the challenge. Developed with the help of the EBRD and funded by the European Union, the NEEAP closely follows and mirrors the activities and policies of the European Union in the area of energy and energy efficiency.

The plan includes a large number of measures, combining the general energy efficiency framework and cross-cutting sectorial measures. They include steps like greater use of renewable energy and district heating in buildings and encouraging the use of combined heat and power across industries. The plan also envisages the development of a national energy efficiency financing mechanism and a regulatory framework for the creation of a heating and cooling market.

Sectorial measures will include industry, transport, construction, heating and cooling, agriculture and energy generation and transformation itself.

Turkey is also investing heavily in developing its potential in renewable sources of energy such as wind, solar, hydro and geothermal energy generation. The country is seeking to develop 30 per cent of its total installed capacity from renewable sources by 2023. The objective is to add 34 GW of hydropower, 20 GW of wind energy, 5 GW of solar energy, 1.5 GW of geothermal and 1 GW of biomass. Turkey also aims to have 10 per cent of its transport sector needs met by renewable energy.

The EBRD has been supporting this foray into green energy as an investor as well as through its work with the government. The Bank also assisted the development of the National Renewable Energy Action Plan (NREAP), which was financed by the government of Spain. Under the plan, the Bank is currently supporting the Turkish government in strengthening and streamlining the regulatory framework for the development of the renewable energy sector.

Source: EBRD

MEPs are ready to negotiate binding targets with EU ministers to boost energy efficiency by 35% and the share of renewables in the total energy mix by 35%, by 2030.

Parliament endorsed committee proposals for binding EU-level targets of an 35% improvement in energy efficiency, a minimum 35% share of energy from renewable sources in gross final consumption of energy, and a 12% share of energy from renewable sources in transport, by 2030.

To meet these overall targets, EU member states are asked to set their own national targets,  to be monitored and achieved in line with a draft law on the governance of the Energy Union. 

35% binding EU energy efficiency target

On energy efficiency, Parliament voted in favor of a minimum 35% binding EU target and indicative national ones. This target should be considered on the basis of the projected energy consumption in 2030 according to the PRIMES model (simulating the energy consumption and the energy supply system in the EU). The draft law on energy efficiency was approved by 485 votes to 132, with  58 abstentions.

Renewable energy: a binding 35% target

Voting on a separate piece of legislation, adopted with 492 votes to 88 and 107 abstentions, MEPs said that the share of renewable energy should be of 35% of the energy consumption in the EU in 2030. National targets should also be set, from which Member States would be allowed to deviate by a maximum of 10% under certain conditions.

Transport: more advanced biofuels, palm-oil to be phased out by 2021

In 2030, each Member State will have to ensure that 12% of the energy consumed in transport comes from renewable sources. The contribution of so-called “first generation” biofuels (made from food and feed crops) should be capped to 2017 levels, with a maximum of 7% in road and rail transport. MEPs also want a ban on the use of palm oil from 2021.

The share of advanced biofuels (which have a lower impact on land use than those based on food crops), renewable transport fuels of non-biological origin, waste-based fossil fuels and renewable electricity will have to be at least 1.5% in 2021, rising to 10% in 2030.

Charging stations

By 2022, 90% of fuel stations along the roads of the Trans-European Networks should be equipped with high power recharging points for electric vehicles, say MEPs.

Biomass

MEPs want support schemes for renewable energy from biomass to be designed to avoid encouraging the unsustainable use of biomass for energy production if there are better industrial or material uses, as carbon captured in wood would be released if it were burned for heating. For energy generation, priority should therefore be given to burning wood wastes and residues.

Consumer generated power and energy communities

Parliament wants to ensure that consumers who produce electricity on their premises are entitled to consume it and install storage systems without having to pay any charges, fees or taxes.

The negotiating remit for MEPs also asks member states to assess existing barriers to consuming energy produced on the consumer’s own premises, to promote such consumption, and to ensure that consumers, particularly households, can join renewable energy communities without being subject to unjustified conditions or procedures.

Source: European Parliament

Switching reached new record levels. In October there were 534,746 electricity switches and 461,000 gas switches. These were respectively the highest level of electricity switching ever recorded in the same month and the highest ever level of gas switching in any month. The number of switches to small and medium suppliers also increased compared to September, by around 13% in electricity and 17% in gas. See Switching and consumer experience.

Electricity At-a-glance summary

Between 2004 and Q2 2017, the electricity market share of the large six suppliers dropped from nearly 100% to 82%.

The combined market share for five of the large electricity suppliers (excluding British Gas) in the GB domestic market declined by 15 percentage points, from 75% to 60%. Individual market shares fluctuated between 10% and 22%.
In the same period, British Gas was the leading domestic electricity supplier in GB, with a market share ranging between 22% and 25%.

Until 2012, other suppliers held a market share of below 2%. Since then, their share has grown significantly. They reached a market share of 18% in Q2 2017, four percentage points up on Q2 2016. Five of these (Utility Warehouse, OVO, First Utility, Utilita, and Cooperative Energy) increased their individual market shares above 1%, with First Utility reaching over 3%. These medium sized suppliers had slower growth in the year to Q2 2017, compared to previous years in the 2012-2015 period. On the other hand, small suppliers, who have individual market shares below 1%, have reached a combined market share of 8% in Q2 2017, 3 percentage points up compared to Q2 2016.

Gas Market At-a-glance summary

Between 2005 and Q2 2017, the gas market share of the large six suppliers dropped from nearly 100% to 81%.

The combined market share for the largest gas supplier in the GB domestic market, British Gas, declined by 22 percentage points to 33%. Nonetheless, this remains significantly higher than the next largest competitor, SSE, which held an 11% market share in June 2017.

In the same period, the individual market shares of the remaining four large suppliers fluctuated between 5% and 13%.

Until 2012, all other suppliers held a market share of below 2%. Since then, their share has grown significantly. They reached a combined market share of 19% in Q2 2017, four percentage points up on Q2 2016. Five of these (Utility Warehouse, OVO, First Utility, Utilita and Cooperative Energy) increased their individual market shares above 1%.  However, these medium sized suppliers had slower growth in the year to Q2 2017 compared to previous years in the 2012-2015 period.  Small suppliers, who have individual market shares below 1%, reached a combined market share of 8% in Q2 2017, three percentage points up on Q2 2016.

Switching

Consumers promote effective competition by being actively engaged in managing their energy, and making a credible threat of switching where better offers are available. This pressures suppliers to innovate and offer better products and services for them.

We look at trends in external switching (between suppliers) and internal switching (with the same supplier) to understand levels of consumer engagement. We also look at average switching times, an indicator of process quality, and consider trends in overall consumer satisfaction with suppliers. These indicators are a snapshot of our more detailed consumer research on market engagement.

Between January 2014 and June 2017, the average switching time for gas fell by 9 days to 15 days. There was a slight peak in late 2015 and early 2016. This follows changes to gas industry rules in November 2013.

The average switching time for electricity has been relatively steady since the end of 2014 at around 16 days.

Prices and Profits

At-a-glance summary

Competition in the energy market is necessary to incentivize suppliers to improve their cost efficiency. It should also push suppliers to improve their prices and services in the fear that if they do not, they will lose customers to their rivals and will struggle to attract new business.

From the start of 2014 until early 2016, the price difference between the average standard variable tariff and the cheapest tariff available in the market increased significantly. This is because the price of the cheapest tariffs fell at a much faster rate than that of the average standard variable tariff. The differential peaked in February 2016 at £350. Since then, and up to January 2017, the average SVT has continued to drop and the cheapest tariff in the market has increased, driven primarily by increases in wholesale prices.

Our indicators show trends across available tariff types and contracts, and the prices suppliers offer to different customer groups. Energy company profits help us to understand the strength of competition among companies. We assess this through the companies’ pre-tax margins, out of which they make a profit. We also look at the costs that make up a typical dual fuel customer bill over time to better understand what factors drive price changes.

Between February 2017 and November 2017, the cheapest tariff in the market has fluctuated, but returned to roughly the same level. Over the same period the cheapest tariff offered by the six large suppliers has remained roughly the same.

The average price of SVTs offered by the six large suppliers increased from February to November 2017, reaching £1,135. These SVT increases were the first for most of these suppliers since the end of 2013. The differential between the average price of the SVT offered by the six large suppliers and the cheapest tariff has generally shown an increasing trend since February 2017, but was stable relative to the previous month at £308 in November.

The differential between the basket of cheapest tariffs and the average standard variable tariff for the six large suppliers stood at £288 in November 2017, an increase of 3% over the previous month.

Source: OFGEM

The share of renewables in the Middle East energy mix is forecast to triple over the next 17 years — but natural gas will remain the dominant power source in the region.

That’s one of the key findings of a new report published this week by Siemens.

Solar power is expected to account for additions of around 61 GW by 2035, and the report highlights significant potential for wind power generation in Saudi Arabia and Egypt, but notes that this potential is not entirely reflected in the moderate capacity additions expected.

Speaking to journalists during Abu Dhabi Sustainability Week, Dietmar Siersdorfer, chief executive of Siemens Middle East and UAE, said the need to make grids ‘smarter’ was “the most underestimated thing” in the global energy industry.

He said the use of battery storage was sure to figure highly, but also made a case for hydrogen storage as a “holistic” solution. He said that “you can build an eco-system for hydrogen” because of its ability to also act as a fuel for vehicles and also be utilized for other industries such as petrochemicals.

However, despite the rise of renewables in the Middle East, the report forecasts that natural gas is expected remain the number one power source in the region, representing 60 percent of installed capacity through to 2035. It states that with economic diversification and population growth accelerating, the growth in power demand in the region — which is approximately 3.3 percent per year — will be realized predominantly through increasingly efficient natural gas-fired power plants.

Capacity additions will primarily be highly efficient combined cycle plants, which are expected to dominate the power landscape by 2030.

“A reliable, efficient, flexible and affordable power supply is the backbone of economic and social development in the Middle East,” said Siersdorfer. “While the energy mix will see significant diversification over the next 20 years, natural gas will remain the prime energy source for power generation in 2035.”
Alongside storage, another key enabler identified by the report is digitalization. Siersdorfer highlighted that a gas turbine can produce 30 gigabytes of data per day, and the report points out that using digitalization tools to harness this data and use it intelligently will be an important factor in increasing the efficiency and flexibility of energy supply, while decreasing production costs.

“It’s about putting smart technology on top of the grid,” said Siersdorfer, who also warned that the increased use of data and analytics with Cloud technology meant that the need for strong cybersecurity systems was vital.

“Digitalization is an essential part of the future energy landscape, and turning big data into smart data will enable us to be more reliable, energy efficient and cost effective,” he said. “However, we must remember that with greater interconnectivity, use of data analytics and cloud technologies comes greater exposure to cybersecurity threats so organizations need to be well-prepared.”

The Energy Outlook 2018 report also highlights a growing mix between centralized and distributed power systems, with evolving demands reshaping the energy landscape to include smaller, decentralized power plants, which service a specific function to the grid.

Source: Renewable Energy World

Article

Middle East Power: Outlook 2035

The report by Siemens expected the region to require a total of 483 gigawatts (GW) of power generation capacity by 2035, an addition of 277 GW from 2016. It added that this increase highlights the need for reliable and efficient energy storage solutions, as well as "mixed power generation sources to overcome the intermittent nature of renewables and achieve grid stability." Siemens’ report entitled: ‘Middle East Power: Outlook 2035’ notes that despite the growing share of renewables, natural gas is expected to remain the number one source for power generation in the region, representing 60 percent of installed capacity through 2035.

Please click here to read the full report.